2020-08-22

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2020-10-23 · Robert Cahaly, Chief pollster at The Trafalgar Group spoke with Fox News Radio's Guy Benson about where the 2020 race between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden stands in swing

The Great Lakes/Mid-Atlantic region was not the only area where 2016 polling missed the mark. 2020-10-31 · The Trafalgar Group’s Rob Cahaly — who predicted Trump’s 2016 victory — claims most Americans dislike responding to polls consisting of 25 or more questions. Updating the Trafalgar Map!!! #AmericaFirst #Trump2020 #USA #Conservative #subscribe #Trafalgar #Polls #Florida #Minnesota #Pennsylvania #Michigan #Nevada # 2021-04-12 · * Polls marked with an asterisk are partisan polls. Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll, rather than who conducts it.

Trafalgar polls

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2020-10-27 · The Trafalgar poll was right on in every state in 2016 when all of the other polls except for Rasmussen were calling for a Hillary landslide.Fake news would have you believe this will be a Biden landslide when this election will be really tight no matter who wins. That poll was conducted Oct. 11-13, 2020. For Arizona, Trafalgar asked the same question of 1,087 likely voters. In response, 47.8% said they would vote for Trump and 43.8% said they would vote for Biden. (Trafalgar Group, Arizona poll) That poll was conducted Oct. 6-8, 2020. Trump is leading in Michigan 46.5% to 45.9%.

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Someone Else 1.2%. NC Oct 31, 2020. Presidential Poll.

30 Oct 2020 We've been using RealClearPolitics polling averages for our tracker. RCP simply mixes together all the polls without adjusting for “house effects,” 

NC Oct 31, 2020 Presidential Poll TOTALS (with leans) Donald Trump 48.6% Joe Biden 46.5% Jo Jorgensen 2.6% Someone Else 1.4% Undecided 1.0% See Report Here NC Oct 2020 U.S. Senate Poll Thom Tillis 48.6% Cal Cunningham 46.8% Shannon Bray 2.2% Kevin Hayes 0.5% Undecided 1.9% See Report Here This isn’t the only poll out there right now showing the two Democrats ahead, either. But because Trafalgar is so well known for Trump-friendly numbers, the fact that they have the two Republicans trailing feels shocking. Our new @trafalgar_group 2020 #GASen #Runoff #poll (12/23-27) shows a lead shift after the week of the #stimulusbill: Runoff In North Carolina, the latest RCP average of polls has Biden up by 0.7 percent, but Rasmussen has Trump in the lead by 1 percent and Trafalgar has Trump leading by 3 percent. In Wisconsin, the latest RCP average of polls has Biden up by 5.5 percent, and so you would be tempted to think that Biden has a lock on that key swing state. (CNS News) -- The Trafalagar Group polling firm, the only pollster to accurately foresee a Donald Trump win in Michigan in 2016, and one of the few groups to forecast a Trump win in Pennsylvania in 2016, currently places Trump ahead of Joe Biden North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Trafalgar’s last Pennsylvania poll had a statistical tie, a loss of a 2 point lead for Biden from two weeks earlier. If Trafalgar’s modeling and sampling are correct (and I believe it to be) the trend will continue to a Trump lead and eventual win of the state.

Trump is leading in Michigan 46.5% to 45.9%. The survey consisted of 1,076 voters, and showed that Trump had the support of 48.4% of those asked in comparison to Biden's 47.6%, once the "leaning" voters were included. But the latest Trafalgar poll actually has Trump up by 1.3 percent. In Michigan, the latest RCP average of polls has Biden up by 9.0 percent, and so that makes it seem like Biden has absolutely nothing to worry about there. But the latest Trafalgar poll has Trump up by 0.6 percent in the state. 2020-10-14 · In Michigan, 45 polls were publicly released, and Trump led in just two, one of which was Trafalgar’s final 2016 study. In Wisconsin, 33 polls were taken, and none found President Trump running ahead.
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Trafalgar polls

Trump is leading in Michigan 46.5% to 45.9%. In a stunning reversal, the Trafalgar Group, which has been one of the most reliable pollsters this election season, released its latest polling numbers for next week’s Georgia Senate runoff showing that the two Democratic challengers – Rev. Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff – are now leading the incumbent Republican senators – Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue. NC Oct 31, 2020 Presidential Poll TOTALS (with leans) Donald Trump 48.6% Joe Biden 46.5% Jo Jorgensen 2.6% Someone Else 1.4% Undecided 1.0% See Report Here NC Oct 2020 U.S. Senate Poll Thom Tillis 48.6% Cal Cunningham 46.8% Shannon Bray 2.2% Kevin Hayes 0.5% Undecided 1.9% See Report Here This isn’t the only poll out there right now showing the two Democrats ahead, either.

Trafalgar Group head pollster Robert Cahaly told Fox News on Monday evening that he thinks President Trump will win the November 3 election despite most polls showing Joe Biden ahead. "What we've Trafalgar Response - Remove the Cross Tabs. Links to these Trafalgar polls with the dubious crosstabs have gone dead. My Take.
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In 2016, its first time publicly releasing polls, Trafalgar was the firm whose state surveys most effectively presaged Mr. Trump’s upset win.

6 Dec 2020 At one point, CNN/SSRS poll had President Donald Trump down by 16 points overall. Going into the election, ABC News/Washington Post poll  2 Nov 2020 On the eve of Election Day, President Donald Trump edges ahead of Joe Biden in North Carolina polling, according to one widely followed  19 Oct 2020 On Election Day 2016, noted polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight gave Donald Trump a 28.6 percent chance of winning the election. Somehow,  18 Nov 2020 The 2020 election, much like that of 2016, was wracked with polls that missed the mark by a wide margin.

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Vad ger man sig in i ibland, tänk om man kunde göra något lagom. Förresten om ickelagombeteende är något som är intressant att fundera på. Megyn Kelly is joined by syndicated radio host Hugh Hewitt, presidential candidate and host of "Yang Speaks" Andrew Yang, and Trafalgar  Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahaly joins with good news about his Georgia polls and what he sees as the biggest issues for voters.

TOTALS (with leans) Donald Trump 49.1%. Joe Biden 46.6%. Jo Jorgensen 2.1%.